Tuesday, October 6, 2009

OA QB Rating: Through Week 4

In a previous post, I described my OA Quarterback rating.  
Before I  show you the results for week 4, below is a graph showing each player's OA rating vs. his team's average points scored.




Overall, the rating is a pretty good predictor of points scored.
Who are the outliers?  Glad you asked.

Jay Cutler and Shaun Hill each have a negative OA QB rating - despite the fact that their teams are number 8 and 5, respectively,  in average points scored.  (I should point out that I don't tease out defensive TDs).

Thursday, October 1, 2009

OA QB Rating: Through Week 3

In a previous post, I described my OA Quarterback rating.  
Before I  show you the results for week 3, I wanted to show you another graph.  The scatter plot to the right shows the T/A differential plotted against the point differential (average by year) for every team since the 2000 season.  That graph shows precisely why Y/A is such an important stat.  The correlation with point differential (and, therefore, wins) is incredibly strong.